We will contextualise the proposed methodology by applying it to a default model of mortgage loans of a commercial bank in the Netherlands.
Lenders therefore need a validation methodology to convince their supervisors that their credit scoring models are performing well.
In this paper we take up the challenge to propose and implement a simple validation methodology that can be used by banks to validate their credit risk modelling exercise.
See the top 20 books referenced/cited in these (below listed) papers.
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Koning of the University of Groningen, and Robert Lensink of the University of Groningen(207K PDF) -- 8 pages -- April 2009Macro Stress-Testing on the Loan Portfolio of Japanese Banksby Akira Otani of the Bank of Japan, Shigenori Shiratsuka of the Bank of Japan, Ryoko Tsurui of the Bank of Japan, and Takeshi Yamada of the Bank of Japan(206K PDF) -- 34 pages -- March 2009Macro-model-based Stress Testing of Basel II Capital Requirementsby Esa Jokivuolle of the Bank of Finland, Kimmo Virolainen of the Bank of Finland, and Oskari Vhmaa of the Bank of Finland(1,390K PDF) -- 30 pages -- September 2008Macro Stress and Worst Case Analysis of Loan Portfoliosby Thomas Breuer of Fachhochschule Vorarlberg, Martin Jandačka of Fachhochschule Vorarlberg, Klaus Rheinberger of Fachhochschule Vorarlberg, and Martin Summer of Oesterreichische Nationalbank(423K PDF) -- 31 pages -- March 29, 2008Macro Stress Tests and History-Based Stressed PD: The case of Hong Kongby Michael C. Wong of the City University of Hong Kong & CT Risk Solutions, and Yat-fai Lam of Hong Kong Monetary Authority(149K PDF) -- 17 pages -- March 2008Discriminatory Power: An obsolete validation criterion?
by Manuel Lingo of the Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, and Gerhard Winkler of Oesterreichische Nationalbank(675K PDF) -- 43 pages -- February 2008Goodness-of-Fit Test for Event Forecastingby Andreas Blchlinger of Zrcher Kantonalbank, and Markus Leippold of Imperial College London(390K PDF) -- 46 pages -- January 9, 2008Quantitative Validation of Rating Models for Low Default Portfolios through Benchmarkingby Markus Ricke of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank, and Georg von Pfstl of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank(230K PF) -- 9 pages -- December 2007Validation of Internal Rating Systems and PD Estimatesby Dirk Tasche of Deutsche Bundesbank(302K PDF) -- 27 pages -- June 7, 2006Testing Probability Calibrations: Application to credit scoring modelsby Andreas Blchlinger of Credit Suisse, and Markus Leippold of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York & University of Zurich(379K PDF) -- 36 pages -- May 6, 2006Stress Testing of Banking Systemsby Martin Čihk of the International Monetary Fund(329K PDF) -- 23 pages -- September 2005Benchmarking Model of Default Probabilities of Listed Companiesby Cho-Hoi Hui of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Tak-Chuen Wong of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority Chi-Fai Lo of the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Ming-Xi Huang of the The Chinese University of Hong Kong(2,054K PDF) -- 11 pages -- September 2005Studies on the Validation of Internal Rating Systemsby the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision(504K PDF) -- 120 pages -- May 2005Evidence on the Incompleteness of Merton-type Structural Models for Default Predictionby Roger M.
An important yet challenging task in developing and applying default classification models is model evaluation and selection.
This study proposes an evaluation approach for bank loan default classification models based on multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) methods.
(Apr-1)Most Cited Books within Testing/Validation Papers Validating Default Models when the Validation Data are Corrupted: Analytic results and bias correctionsby Roger M.
Stein of Massachusetts Institute of Technology & State Street Corporation(139K PDF) -- 61 pages -- July 13, 2013Next Generation System-Wide Liquidity Stress Testingby Christian Schmieder of the International Monetary Fund, Heiko Hesse of the International Monetary Fund, Benjamin Neudorfer of Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Claus Puhr of Oesterreichische Nationalbank, and Stefan W.
Armando Morales of the International Monetary Fund(297K PDF) -- 18 pages -- August 2004Myth and Reality of Discriminatory Power for Rating Systemsby Stefan Blochwitz of Deutsche Bundesbank, Alfred Hamerle of the University of Regensburg, Stefan Hohl of the Bank for International Settlements, Robert Rauhmeier of Kf W-Bankengruppe, and Daniel Rsch of the University of Regensburg(125K PDF) -- 12 pages -- July 27, 2004Optimal Simultaneous Validation Tests of Default Probabilities, Dependencies, and Credit Risk Modelsby Uwe Wehrspohn of Heidelberg University(621K PDF) -- 11 pages -- July 15, 2004Validating Default Probabilities on Short Time Seriesby Stefan Blochwitz of Deutsche Bundesbank, Stefan Hohl of the Bank for International Settlements, Dirk Tasche of Deutsche Bundesbank, and Carsten Wehn of Deutsche Bundesbank(168K PDF) -- 11 pages -- May 7, 2004An Empirical Comparison of Default Risk Forecasts from Alternative Credit Rating Philosophiesby Daniel Rsch of the University of Regensburg(197K PDF) -- 43 pages -- April 15, 2004A Traffic Lights Approach to PD Validationby Dirk Tasche of Deutsche Bundesbank(185K PDF) -- 7 pages -- May 2, 2003Uses and Misuses of Measures for Credit Rating Accuracyby Alfred Hamerle of the University of Regensburg, Robert Rauhmeier of the University of Regensburg, and Daniel Rsch of the University of Regensburg(346K PDF) -- 28 pages -- April 28, 2003Are the Probabilities Right?